Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 9.034880 10.538599 12.182482 14.108666 16.299202 18.708193 21.553180
2026-01-25 6.304057 8.282626 10.673830 13.755570 17.598721 22.208322 28.127903
2026-02-01 4.713339 6.821686 9.583092 13.417854 18.550464 25.121325 34.097010
2026-02-08 3.595194 5.662866 8.565918 12.861187 18.959315 27.194986 39.020602
2026-02-15 2.836291 4.822139 7.788844 12.429819 19.363842 29.165820 43.845931
2026-02-22 2.453487 4.456861 7.613535 12.790282 20.861953 32.710639 51.077926
2026-03-01 2.155105 4.162829 7.485191 13.172307 22.386221 36.372948 58.723146
2026-03-08 1.773662 3.651981 6.921184 12.767157 22.611508 38.064115 63.510871
2026-03-15 1.485041 3.250499 6.474078 12.479606 22.961946 39.930771 68.652540
2026-03-22 1.372636 3.161596 6.560133 13.107684 24.873566 44.398419 78.180537
2026-03-29 1.248171 3.024809 6.534938 13.523779 26.443320 48.402491 87.206769
2026-04-05 1.099371 2.808761 6.325492 13.567164 27.344111 51.332657 94.628663
2026-04-12 0.953984 2.585724 6.096861 13.599469 28.326547 54.647852 103.246595
2026-04-19 0.794667 2.299082 5.699111 13.260993 28.610824 56.817885 110.165346
2026-04-26 0.663118 2.047975 5.333909 12.934687 28.874715 58.961390 117.189271
2026-05-03 0.540553 1.787724 4.900238 12.395937 28.645341 60.155944 122.564076
2026-05-10 0.446387 1.578894 4.547354 11.978439 28.604257 61.678569 128.619921
2026-05-17 0.405251 1.513102 4.532851 12.327333 30.203069 66.478189 141.142245
2026-05-24 0.369709 1.455239 4.528364 12.697134 31.878293 71.543124 154.489170
2026-05-31 0.308253 1.296161 4.227305 12.304951 31.825230 73.123723 161.153460
2026-06-07 0.260500 1.168304 3.986728 12.026631 31.993106 75.155281 168.823565
2026-06-14 0.246925 1.159487 4.084932 12.634576 34.274147 81.756104 186.082390
2026-06-21 0.228239 1.126150 4.104980 13.037394 36.104022 87.517469 201.956999